Amazon (AMZN) Algorithmic Stock Analysis

FIGI: BBG000BVPV84  |  ISIN: US0231351067  |  Symbol: AMZN  |  CUSIP: 023135106

Navigating the complex price action of a global e-commerce and cloud computing dominant like Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) requires eliminating emotional bias and relying strictly on quantifiable market data. To provide independent investors with an institutional-level advantage in the tech sector, we have engineered this proprietary, browser-based Algorithmic Strategy Terminal. Developed as a unique, in-house analytical engine, it delivers professional-grade technical analysis specifically for Amazon equitiesβ€”without requiring any software downloads or hidden subscription fees. By utilizing our terminal, you can seamlessly integrate elite oscillators with advanced trend filters, backtest high-probability confluence setups, and generate highly accurate, real-time BUY and SELL signals directly on your active chart.

How to Maximize Your AMZN Trading Strategy

Leverage our proprietary mathematical engine to trade Amazon equities with absolute statistical precision:

  1. Establish Your Timeframe: Use the top navigation menu to select your trading interval. Opt for short timeframes (5M, 15M) to exploit rapid intraday tech sector volatility, or macro views (1D, 1W) to define strategic accumulation zones for your long-term growth portfolio.
  2. Layer Algorithmic Filters: Select your preferred Trend Filters (such as Exponential Moving Averages or Bollinger Bands) and combine them with Elite Oscillators (such as the Relative Strength Index or MACD). The engine instantly processes Amazon’s historical and live market data.
  3. Identify Entry Signals: When the strict mathematical parameters of your chosen indicators align perfectly, the terminal will automatically print a highly visible green BUY arrow or red SELL arrow on the candlestick chart to confirm your directional bias.
  4. Calculate ROI & Margin: Scroll down to the built-in Strategy Profit Calculator. Enter your specific capital allocation and applied equity leverage (e.g., 1:5). The terminal will instantly cross-reference the latest algorithmic signal with the live AMZN quote to display your projected net profit.
  5. Clear or Execute: Click the “Clear Workspace” button to completely reset your technical layout for a fresh analytical approach, or utilize the secure execution buttons to deploy your strategy live through a regulated brokerage platform.

Amazon (AMZN) Analyst Opinions & Forecasts

Consensus Rating
Strong Buy
Average Target
$298.40
Full Range
$245 – $340

Date Analyst Firm Rating Action Price Target
01/05/26 Jefferies & Company Inc. Maintained Buy $300
12/16/25 BMO Capital Markets Maintained Buy $304
12/10/25 Guggenheim Maintained Buy $300
12/04/25 Rosenblatt Maintained Buy $305
12/03/25 Wedbush Morgan Securities Inc. Maintained Buy $340
12/03/25 Bank of America Merrill Lynch Maintained Buy $303
12/02/25 Wells Fargo & Co Maintained Buy $295
12/01/25 Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. Maintained Buy $305
11/25/25 Rosenblatt Maintained Buy $305
11/04/25 Rosenblatt Maintained Buy $305
11/04/25 Mizuho Maintained Buy $315
10/31/25 Wells Fargo & Co Maintained Buy $292
10/31/25 Capital Depesche Maintained Buy $300
10/31/25 Citigroup Corp. Maintained Buy $320
10/31/25 J.P. Morgan Maintained Buy $305
10/31/25 Piper Sandler Maintained Buy $300
10/31/25 Bernstein Maintained Buy $300
10/31/25 UBS Maintained Buy $310
10/31/25 Barclays Capital Maintained Buy $300
10/31/25 The Benchmark Company Maintained Buy $295
10/31/25 Cantor Fitzgerald Maintained Buy $315
10/31/25 D.A. Davidson & Co. Maintained Buy $300
10/31/25 Evercore Maintained Buy $335
10/31/25 Rosenblatt Maintained Buy $305
10/31/25 Stifel, Nicolaus & Co. Maintained Buy $295
10/31/25 Telsey Advisory Group Maintained Buy $300
10/31/25 Bank of America Merrill Lynch Maintained Buy $303
10/28/25 UBS Maintained Buy $279
10/24/25 Stifel, Nicolaus & Co. Maintained Buy $269
10/24/25 Wedbush Morgan Maintained Buy $280
10/22/25 The Benchmark Company Maintained Buy $260
10/03/25 Goldman Sachs Maintained Buy $275
09/30/25 Mizuho Maintained Buy $300
09/24/25 Telsey Advisory Group Maintained Buy $265
09/24/25 Wells Fargo & Co Upgraded to Buy $280
09/19/25 Wedbush Morgan Maintained Buy $250
08/14/25 Morgan Stanley Maintained Buy $300
08/13/25 Telsey Advisory Group Maintained Buy $265
08/01/25 D.A. Davidson & Co. Maintained Buy $265
08/01/25 Citigroup Corp. Maintained Buy $270
08/01/25 Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. Maintained Buy $245
08/01/25 BMO Capital Markets Maintained Buy $280
08/01/25 J.P. Morgan Maintained Buy $265
08/01/25 Stifel, Nicolaus & Co. Maintained Buy $260
08/01/25 Cantor Fitzgerald Maintained Buy $280
08/01/25 JMP Securities LLC Maintained Buy $285
08/01/25 Susquehanna Financial Maintained Buy $260
08/01/25 Barclays Capital Maintained Buy $275
08/01/25 Capital Depesche Maintained Buy $280
08/01/25 Rosenblatt Maintained Buy $297

* Scroll inside the table to view the full history of analyst ratings for Amazon (AMZN). This list includes the 50 most recent institutional forecasts.

Where to Trade Amazon Stock

While Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) is primarily listed on the NASDAQ Global Select Market and is a foundational component of the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500, its shares are accessible to global investors through an extensive network of international exchanges. As a premier technology leader, Amazon offers exceptional liquidity, attracting significant institutional capital and retail volume across multiple global equity markets.

Exchange Ticker Currency Region
NASDAQ Global Select Market AMZN USD United States
Deutsche BΓΆrse (XETRA / Frankfurt) AMZ EUR Germany
Borsa Italiana (Milan) AMZN EUR Italy
Toronto Stock Exchange / CBOE Canada AMZN CAD Canada
B3 – Brasil Bolsa BalcΓ£o AMZO34 BRL Brazil
Bolsa de Comercio de Santiago AMZNCL CLP Chile
Warsaw Stock Exchange (GPW) AMZNP PLN Poland
Wiener BΓΆrse (Vienna) AMZN EUR Austria
Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) AMZN_KZ USD Kazakhstan
Bolsa de Valores de Lima AMZN USD Peru

Amazon (AMZN) Estimates* in USD

Metric 2026 2027 2028 2029
Revenue 795,749 883,695 979,731 1,088,660
Dividend 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dividend Yield (in %) 0.00 % 0.00 % 0.00 %
EPS 7.91 9.67 12.15 14.84
P/E Ratio 30.47 24.92 19.82 16.24
EBIT 100,626 124,205 157,973 192,249
EBITDA 245,035 290,552 340,864
Net Profit 107,225 134,863 165,465
Net Profit Adjusted 102,949 134,054 144,051 171,059
Pre-Tax Profit 104,193 127,981 162,902 197,889
Pre-Tax Profit Reported 104,193 127,981 162,902 197,889
EPS (Non-GAAP) ex. SOE 8.07 10.41 12.24 14.14
EPS (GAAP) 7.91 9.67 12.15 14.84
Gross Income 404,755 459,661 513,624 569,473
Cash Flow from Investing -145,636 -166,914 -180,975 -188,655
Cash Flow from Operations 182,814 223,636 289,386 342,837
Cash Flow from Financing -6,223 -7,528
Cash Flow per Share 17.43 21.28 21.29 23.56
Free Cash Flow 48,718 68,560 113,258 124,534
Free Cash Flow per Share 5.23 3.55 5.12 6.68
Book Value per Share 43.74 56.56 71.10 87.30
Net Debt -15,826 -49,174
Research & Development Exp. 117,871 134,322 140,147 148,203
Capital Expenditure 145,413 160,463 161,768 184,818
Selling, General & Admin. Exp. 60,566 158,371
Shareholder’s Equity 484,409 607,866 806,735 1,007,631
Total Assets 848,339 986,009 1,196,396 1,422,369

* Institutional Estimates in Million USD (e.g. Revenue) or per share (e.g. EPS). Source: FactSet / Analyst Consensus. Scroll vertically to see all 27 financial metrics.

Amazon (AMZN) Income Statements

Income Statements (Mio. USD) 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Sales 637,959.00 574,785.00 513,983.00 469,822.00 386,064.00 280,522.00 232,887.00
Change of sales in % 10.99 11.83 9.40 21.70 37.62 20.45 30.93
Gross profit on sales 311,671.00 270,046.00 225,152.00 197,478.00 152,757.00 114,986.00 93,731.00
Gross profit change in % 15.41 19.94 14.01 29.28 32.85 22.68 42.16
Operating income 69,356.00 37,619.00 13,511.00 24,941.00 22,824.00 14,742.00 12,717.00
Operating income change in % 84.36 178.43 -45.83 9.28 54.82 15.92 194.38
Income before tax 68,614.00 37,557.00 -5,936.00 38,151.00 24,178.00 13,976.00 11,261.00
Income before tax change in % 82.69 57.79 73.00 24.11 195.87
Income after tax (Net Profit) 59,248.00 30,425.00 -2,722.00 33,364.00 21,331.00 11,588.00 10,073.00
Income after tax change in % 94.73 56.41 84.08 15.04 232.11

* All figures in Millions of USD. Data reflects historical annual performance. Scroll horizontally to view the full 7-year history of Amazon’s financial growth.

Amazon (AMZN) Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet (Mio. USD) 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Total liabilities 338,924.00 325,979.00 316,632.00 282,304.00 227,791.00 163,188.00 119,099.00
Long-term liabilities per share 15.06 15.51 15.74 13.76 10.08 7.57 5.16
Equity 285,970.00 201,875.00 146,043.00 138,245.00 93,404.00 62,060.00 43,549.00
Equity change in % 41.66 38.23 5.64 48.01 50.51 42.51 57.17
Balance sheet total 624,894.00 527,854.00 462,675.00 420,549.00 321,195.00 225,248.00 162,648.00
Total assets change in % 18.38 14.09 10.02 30.93 42.60 38.49 23.87

* Figures in Millions of USD except per share data. Balance sheet totals reflect the company’s financial position at year-end. Scroll horizontally to view the full history from 2018 to 2024.

Amazon (AMZN) Key Data & Ratios

Key Financial Metrics (USD) 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Sales per share 59.51 54.78 50.44 45.61 37.85 27.83 23.29
P/E ratio (basic EPS) 39.70 52.40 51.47 77.87 80.37 74.55
P/E ratio (diluted EPS) 39.70 52.40 51.47 77.87 80.37 74.55
Dividend yield in % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Equity ratio in % 45.76 38.24 31.56 32.87 29.08 27.55 26.77
Debt ratio in % 54.24 61.76 68.44 67.13 70.92 72.45 73.23

Source: Financial Reports. Dividend yield is 0.00% as Amazon (AMZN) does not currently pay dividends. P/E ratio marked with “-” for 2022 due to net loss performance. Scroll horizontally to view historical ratios.

Amazon (AMZN) Insider Activity

Buy Transactions
2
Recent Filings

Sell Transactions
23
Recent Filings

Insider Sentiment
NEGATIVE
Heavy Sell Volume

Name Date Shares Traded Shares Held Price Type Option
Herrington Douglas J 11/30/2025 2,500.00 505,934.00 233.22 Sell No
Zapolsky David 11/23/2025 13,570.00 41,190.00 222.49 Sell No
Zapolsky David 11/20/2025 105.00 54,760.00 219.52 Sell No
Zapolsky David 11/20/2025 1,601.00 60,259.00 215.86 Sell No
Zapolsky David 11/20/2025 372.00 54,865.00 218.60 Sell No
Zapolsky David 11/20/2025 3,071.00 57,188.00 216.75 Sell No
Garman Matthew S 11/20/2025 1,721.00 6,688.00 218.38 Sell No
Garman Matthew S 11/20/2025 3,413.00 8,409.00 217.61 Sell No
Jassy Andrew R 11/20/2025 9,688.00 2,214,528.00 216.74 Sell No
Olsavsky Brian T 11/20/2025 5,050.00 66,750.00 n/a Buy No
Olsavsky Brian T 11/20/2025 8,760.00 57,760.00 n/a Buy No

* Insider activity reflects transactions by corporate officers and directors. Heavy sell volume often indicates scheduled liquidation of stock-based compensation (Rule 10b5-1 plans). Source: SEC Form 4 Filings.

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Stock Index Membership

Major Stock Index Status Inclusion Date Role / Significance
Dow Jones Industrial Average Active Component Feb 26, 2024 Replaced Walgreens to represent the evolution of the U.S. economy toward retail and tech.
S&P 500 Active Component Nov 18, 2005 A “Top 5” constituent by market cap, heavily influencing the index’s performance.
Nasdaq 100 Active Component Ongoing Core member of the tech-heavy index; listed on NASDAQ since its 1997 IPO.
S&P 100 Active Component Ongoing Represents the largest and most established companies in the S&P 500.
Russell 1000 (Growth & Value) Multi-Category Jun 2025 (Value) Classified as “Growth,” but as of 2025, partially included in the “Value” index.
MSCI USA Index Active Component Ongoing Standard benchmark for institutional portfolios globally.
Dow Jones Global Titans 50 Active Component Ongoing One of the 50 largest companies globally by float-adjusted market cap.
Institutional Impact: Amazon is a dominant holding in major ETFs, including SPY (S&P 500), QQQ (Nasdaq 100), and sector-specific funds like XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund), where it often commands a double-digit weighting.

Largest ETFs and Funds Holding Amazon (AMZN)

Institutional Ownership
62.48%

Total ETFs Holding AMZN
482

Fund / ETF Name Ticker Weight (%) Shares Held (M) Value (Billion USD)
Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR XLY 22.84% 84.2 18.5
Invesco QQQ Trust QQQ 4.98% 421.5 92.7
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY 3.41% 1,055.1 232.1
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF VTI 2.88% 318.4 70.1
Fidelity Blue Chip Growth ETF FBCG 8.12% 12.5 2.7

Top Institutional Shareholders

The Vanguard Group, Inc. 7.27%
T. Rowe Price Associates 4.38%
FMR, LLC (Fidelity) 4.05%
Capital World Investors 3.55%
State Street Corp 3.43%
BlackRock Institutional 2.20%
Baillie Gifford & Co. 1.56%
Invesco Advisers, Inc. 1.02%

* Data based on latest 13F institutional filings. Jeff Bezos remains the largest individual shareholder, though not listed under institutional entities. ETF weights are approximate and vary with share price movement.

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Market Capitalization History

Current Market Cap (Jan 2026)
$2.34 Trillion
β–² Leading Cloud & Retail Sector

Growth Context: Amazon surpassed the $1 trillion mark in 2018 and the $2 trillion milestone in mid-2024. Its valuation is driven by the high-margin AWS (Cloud) business and the expansion of its advertising segment. Major volatility in 2022 was recovered by 2024 due to aggressive cost-cutting and AI-driven efficiency gains.

Year (End of Period) Market Cap (Trillion USD) Annual Change (%)
2025 (Full Year) 2.28 +15.1%
2024 1.98 +27.8%
2023 1.55 +80.9%
2022 0.86 -49.6%
2021 1.69 +2.4%
2020 1.63 +76.3%
2019 0.92 +23.0%
2018 0.75 +28.4%
2015 0.31 +117.8%
2010 0.08 +33.1%

* Figures rounded to the nearest hundred billion for clarity. Percentages reflect year-over-year changes in market valuation as of December 31st of each year.

History of Amazon.com, Inc.

Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) is a global technology leader that redefined retail and cloud computing. Founded by Jeff Bezos in 1994, the company started as an online bookstore and quickly expanded into a “Everything Store.” Today, Amazon is one of the “Big Five” American technology companies, dominating the e-commerce market, pioneering cloud infrastructure via AWS, and leading innovation in AI and digital streaming.

Key Milestones in Amazon’s Evolution:

  • 1994–1995: Jeff Bezos founds “Cadabra” (later renamed Amazon) in his garage in Bellevue, Washington. The site officially opens for business on July 16, 1995, selling its first book.
  • 1997: Amazon goes public on May 15, at an IPO price of $18.00 per share (pre-split).
  • 2002–2006: The company survives the dot-com crash and launches Amazon Web Services (AWS), transforming from a retailer into a critical infrastructure provider for the internet.
  • 2005: Launch of Amazon Prime, a loyalty program that revolutionized consumer expectations with “free two-day shipping.”
  • 2007: Introduction of the Kindle e-reader, which disrupts the traditional publishing industry and establishes Amazon’s hardware presence.
  • 2017: Amazon acquires Whole Foods Market for $13.7 billion, marking a massive entry into physical brick-and-mortar grocery retail.
  • 2021: Jeff Bezos steps down as CEO, becoming Executive Chair; Andy Jassy, the former head of AWS, takes over as CEO to lead the next era of growth.
  • 2024–2025: Amazon joins the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and hits a record market cap of over $2 trillion, driven by generative AI integration across AWS and retail logistics.

With a workforce of over 1.5 million employees, Amazon continues to expand its reach into healthcare (One Medical), satellite internet (Project Kuiper), and autonomous vehicles (Zoox). The company’s “Day 1” philosophy remains the core of its corporate culture, prioritizing customer obsession over competitor focus.

FAQ about Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Stock

Does Amazon (AMZN) pay dividends?

As of early 2026, Amazon does not pay a cash dividend. The company historically reinvests its profits into growth initiatives, such as expanding the AWS infrastructure, logistics automation, and satellite internet (Project Kuiper). Investors typically look to AMZN for capital appreciation rather than income.

How much of Amazon’s profit comes from AWS?

Amazon Web Services (AWS) is the company’s primary profit engine. While it often accounts for only 15-18% of total revenue, it frequently generates over 60% of Amazon’s total operating income. This high-margin business subsidizes the expansion of the retail and international delivery segments.

What was the impact of the 20-for-1 stock split?

In June 2022, Amazon executed a 20-for-1 stock split. This did not change the company’s market capitalization but made shares more accessible to retail investors and was a key prerequisite for Amazon’s eventual inclusion in the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2024.

How is Amazon integrating Generative AI?

Amazon is integrating AI across all business lines: Bedrock and Trainium chips within AWS for enterprise clients, AI-powered shopping assistants (Rufus) in retail, and advanced robotics for warehouse pathfinding to reduce delivery costs.

Who is the largest individual shareholder of Amazon?

Jeff Bezos, the founder and Executive Chair, remains the largest individual shareholder. He currently owns approximately 9% to 10% of the outstanding common stock, even after various planned share sales to fund his other ventures like Blue Origin.

3 thoughts on “Amazon (AMZN) Algorithmic Stock Analysis”

  1. EXPERT VIEW
    Elliott Wave Structure & Short-Term Price Action Amazon Stock

    Amazon: Persistent Upward Pressure

    Primary Scenario
    Wave IV Corrective Dip

    Critical Support
    $160.50

    Alt Scenario Prob.
    33%

    Amazon (AMZN) initially maintained its upward momentum through the turn of the year, extending its trajectory until January 2. Following this peak, the market experienced a technical pullback of approximately 4%, which was rapidly absorbed by buyers. This swift recovery has brought the price back to pre-holiday liquidity levels, confirming resilient demand.

    The Primary Count: Wave IV Finalization

    In accordance with our primary wave count, we anticipate a tactical downward rotation to carve out the final low of the beige Wave IV. Ideally, this corrective structure should find a firm bottom above the major horizontal support at $160.50. Completion of this phase will set the stage for Wave V, resuming the secular uptrend.

    Alternative Scenario (33% Probability)

    A direct breach above the overhead resistance at $259 would invalidate the immediate corrective outlook. Such a move would suggest that the alt.IV beige low has already been established, shifting the bias to an accelerated bullish expansion. While the probability of this breakout remains at 33%, investors should monitor the $259 level as a trigger for aggressive trend continuation.

    * Technical analysis based on Elliott Wave Principle and recent price volatility (Dec 2025 – Jan 2026).

    Reply
  2. πŸ“ˆ Amazon (AMZN) Technical Analysis: Strategic Outlook 2026

    Amazon (AMZN) Technical Analysis: Strategic Outlook 2026

    Market Snapshot

    Current Price: $240.75

    Timeframe: Monthly (Log Scale)

    Pattern: Bullish Break & Retest

    Target Upside: +50%

    For the past couple of months, Amazon has overall just been consolidating. However, the underlying technical structure remains exceptionally robust, characterized by a major bullish break and retest of long-term resistance levels.

    Technical Breakdown:

    • Primary Support Trendline: The asset respects a multi-decade ascendant trendline dating back to the late 90s, acting as the ultimate floor for the secular bull market.
    • Confluence of Support: We are currently witnessing a “Confluence of Support” where horizontal price pivots intersect with the primary trendline, providing a high-probability base for the next leg up.
    • Price Discovery Phase: Following this period of slow consolidation, Amazon is expected to create new highs slowly, entering a price discovery phase with an anticipated rally of +50%.

    Expert Insight: “While the recent behavior has been perceived as ‘slow’ by short-term traders, the monthly chart confirms a textbook structural expansion. The validation of the current breakout suggests that AMZN is preparing for a sustained long-term rally toward significant new milestones.”

    Analysis based on technical indicators as of Jan 06, 2026.

    Reply
  3. Stock Signal: Amazon (AMZN)

    Currently, Amazon seems to be somewhat overlooked by the market, but as the stock approaches the $280 resistance level, it’s expected to make bigger moves. This could present a great opportunity for traders.

    Stock: Amazon (Ticker: AMZN)
    Key Resistance: $280
    Current Support: $240 (approx.)
    Potential Pullback in Tech: A significant pullback in the tech sector could be expected next year, but until then, Amazon looks like a solid risk-reward opportunity.

    Take Profit Targets (TP):

    TP1: $280 (initial resistance)

    TP2: $360

    TP3: $440 by Summer 2027

    Why Amazon?
    Amazon is still trading close to its long-term trendline, with steady revenue growth driving its valuation. Despite some market uncertainties, the stock is poised for growth, especially as it approaches the $280 resistance level. Although a broader pullback in tech could occur next year, Amazon remains a strong contender for medium-term upside. As we look ahead, the stock has significant potential to reach higher targets, particularly over the next few years.

    Good luck and happy trading!

    Reply

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